Article first appeared at The Daily Sheeple.
If you were to look at any of the most respected polls, they would all show that Hillary Clinton is significantly more popular than Donald Trump (or less unpopular, depending on how you look at it). In past elections, these numbers would suggest that the next presidential election is going to be a slam dunk for Hillary. However, this election has been anything but ordinary, and the traditional methods of polling the public may not be accurate anymore (or they may be rigged in favor of Hillary).
That’s certainly what Ric Militi believes. He’s the creator of the Zip Questions and Answers app, and based on the data derived from that app, he thinks the polls are wildly inaccurate. “Based on the stats we see, he looks strong,” Militi said in an interview with USA today.
So what makes his app a better metric for predicting the results of an election? To figure that out, we first have to see what service his app provides. The Zip app allows its users to pose opinion based questions on a public forum, where fellow users can vote for different possible answers. It’s advertised as a way to “win bets and settle arguments” that don’t have a definite answer. And that process brings out a bit more candor among the app’s users.
According to Militi, “We’re not a poll. We’re a conversation, and 100% anonymous. People feel comfortable answering questions without fear of being bullied or being called a racist. People can express themselves safely, and you get a pure answer.” Militi also believes that his app users represent an adequate cross section of voter demographics.
As you can imagine, that could certainly make the app a more accurate prognosticator for this election. After all, this election has seen the rise of Donald Trump, a man who lots of people would be reluctant to admit that they support, even if they’re just talking to a pollster over the phone. And if Zip is a solid predictor, it does not bode well for Hillary. Here are the results of several questions that were asked on the app:
“New polls suggest Trump is getting crushed by Clinton. Do they reflect how you are going to vote?” Some 64% told Zip they would vote for Trump, compared to 36% for Clinton. In the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, Clinton leads Trump, 42% to 36%.
“California, who you voting for?” Trump got 55%, compared to 45% for Clinton. In the latest Public Policy Institute of California poll, Clinton has a 16-point advantage over Trump, 46% to 30%.
What do you honestly think Trump meant by saying “The 2nd amendment people can do something about Hillary? Vote against her? 63% Assassinate her 37%”
And this isn’t the only sign that the most widely cited polls are all wrong. Despite Hillary’s supposed lead, Trump still has a social media presence that outmatches hers in every way. As time goes on, the polls are looking more and more rigged, and every other metric is looking better for Trump. Come November, we’re not just going to find out who the president will be. We’re also going to see if the traditional polling methods still have any relevancy at all.